This article is courtesy of BettorsWorld
With preseason football underway, NFL bettors are coming out of the
woodwork looking for those magic NFL angles and trends that will give them a profitable start to the season.
These bettors have probably done a few google searches in their quest for this coveted information. They have discovered that some coaches like to win while others don’t seem to care.
Some Coaches Like to Win NFLX Games
They have likely read that Pete Carroll is 33-16 against the spread in the
pre-season. They have also read that John Harbaugh is 13-0 the last 3 years in
No doubt if they’ve uncovered all of that info, they also read that Jason
Garrett doesn’t seem to care about preseason at all!
Be Careful with ATS Trends
Bettors need to be careful with this type of trend. Sure, if when Pete
Carroll was 0-0 you knew he was going to be 33-16 against the number, you could have cleaned up. But what about the bettors who keyed in on that angle last season?
Carroll was 32-13 ATS heading into the 2018 NFL preseason. He proceeded to go 0-4 straight up and 1-3 against the spread. Very un-Carroll-like
wouldn’t you say? Would have burned a hole in your pocket.
The point is, while it’s helpful to know that some coaches care more than
others about the preseason in the NFL, blindly betting based on that information alone could be hazardous to your wallet. Learn to Bet Like a Pro
Those trends are common information.
Oddsmakers will make you pay a premium to play those teams and coaches.
To really be successful you need to think outside the box. Most bettors are lazy. Don’t be. Do a little work so that you can have information that far fewer bettors have.
Get yourself a spreadsheet. Start tracking how these teams and coaches do
in the 1st quarter. See how they do in the 1st half. Keep track of how they do in the 2nd half.
This holds true for all sports. We just happen to be discussing the NFL
preseason in this article.
I’ll tell you this. You will be amazed at what that simple
exercise mentioned above can uncover. You won’t be the only one with that information. However, you’ll be in a much smaller group.
The group you’ll be
Spreadsheets are Your Friend
Spreadsheets are a
Predictive modeling isn’t as hard as you may think. Much has been written
on the subject and is readily available to those who seek it.
a player the sportsbooks love to hate.
Now, get to work!